Chelsea vs Aston Villa betting preview: odds and predictions | The Sun

CHELSEA have won just one of their first five Premier League matches. Can Aston Villa add to their woes or will Unai Emery’s men struggle after midweek European exertions?

Chelsea vs Aston Villa odds

Here are the latest match odds for Chelsea vs Aston Villa odds from our top-rated football bookies:

⏩ Quick betting tips for Chelsea vs Aston Villa

  • Nicolas Jackson to score first – 5/1 at Spreadex
  • Lucas Digne to be carded – 10/3 at bet365
  • Conor Gallagher over 2.5 tackles – 19/20 at William Hill

Chelsea vs Aston Villa betting preview

This looks a tricky one to call.

Despite their huge cash injection and summer signing spree, Chelsea continue to struggle.

They’ve won only one of five so far and last time out at Stamford Bridge they were beaten 1-0 by Nottingham Forest.

It’s probably no great surprise that their team is yet to truly gel given the huge turnover of players there has been, not to mention numerous injury problems, but you wonder how much time boss Mauricio Pochettino will be given to turn things around.

One positive can be found in the expected-goals data with Chelsea having a figure more than twice that of the actual goals they’ve scored. It’s the biggest such gap in the Premier League and one that suggests bad finishing is a big part in their poor start. That will likely change at some point.

As for Villa, the big question mark over them is how they will cope with the Thursday-Sunday routine that the Europa Conference League campaign has brought to their table.

The group stage began on Thursday night with a 3-2 defeat away to Legia Warsaw. Throw in the flight and it’s a pretty quick turnaround to be playing at 2pm on Sunday.

We’ve seen in the past how the extra midweek matches can affect a team’s domestic form and while Villa did make changes, most of their principals saw gametime at some stage in Poland.

Given the uncertainties, the match result market in which Chelsea are a shade of odds-on, is probably worth swerving with the sub-markets a richer source of potential reward.

Read on for our best bets on the big game.

📝 Chelsea vs Aston Villa key stats

  • Only five players have had more shots in this season’s Premier League than Chelsea’s Nicolas Jackson.
  • Chelsea have scored only five goals in five games so far, although their expected-goals figure is up at 10.6.
  • Villa’s five games this season have seen 21 goals scored – only Brighton’s matches have featured more (22).
  • Chelsea have a host of players on the brink of a return from injury, including Moises Caicedo, Marc Cucurella and Noni Madueke.
  • Villa should recall Moussa Diaby, Ollie Watkins and Matty Cash after they were benched for Thursday’s Europa Conference League game in Warsaw. Jacob Ramsey returned from injury to feature in that contest.

Chelsea vs Aston Villa best bets

Nicolas Jackson to score first

Jackson may have only scored once so far this season but he’s had a lot of chances and an expected-goals tally of 3.85 suggests he’s going to find the net more often sooner rather than later.

With Villa potentially jaded from Thursday night’s trip to Poland – most of those who will play here made that trip and played at some point – Chelsea will look to make a flying start and Jackson appears to be their most likely scorer.

Back Jackson to score first at 5/1 at Spreadex

Lucas Digne to be carded

Digne has already been booked twice this season, meaning he’s now received a card in four on his last nine Premier League games.

In this match, the Villa left-back is likely to be up against Raheem Sterling, who has been one of the bright spots for Chelsea so far, while Mauricio Pochettino’s wing-back system means overlapping runs will also trouble the Frenchman.

Back Digne to be carded at 10/3 at bet365

Conor Gallagher over 2.5 tackles

Gallagher has been a rarity of the Pochettino era – a starter in every game.

In four of the last five of those, he’s landed this tackles bet and this game promises to be closely contested with both sides needing a result after recent setbacks.

There were two of the most fouled sides last season so expect tackles to be made.

Back Gallagher over 2.5 tackles at 19/20 at William Hill

📺 How to watch Chelsea vs Aston Villa

  • Location: Stamford Bridge, London
  • Time: 14:00 BST on Sunday, September 24
  • Where to watch: Not televised in the UK

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